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Football Glossary 4 min read

Glossary: xG, xA, PPDA and PSxG

Short, precise definitions of the analytical metrics referenced across TheBoxPredict — with formulas and interpretation notes.

TheBoxPredict ResearchPublished

xG — Expected Goals

Probability that a shot becomes a goal, based on historical chances of similar quality.

xA — Expected Assists

Probability that a pass becomes a shot that becomes a goal. Rewards creators independently of finisher quality.

PPDA — Passes per Defensive Action

Opponent passes allowed in the attacking 60% of the pitch per defensive action. Lower PPDA = higher press intensity.

PSxG — Post-Shot Expected Goals

xG re-computed after the shot is struck, factoring on-target trajectory. PSxG minus goals conceded quantifies goalkeeper performance.

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